Idenitfying Which Football Games to Trade in the Goals Markets

Morning All,

Just a quick post to show you a systematic way of identifying which games you can trade using one particular strategy. With so many 'in-play' games on at the weekend you can be selective in what games you trade. As I've mentioned before my 1st strategy on a game is to back under 2.5 goals with ok/good liquidity 20-30 mins before the game (or when the price starts to steam) and trading out at Kick-off or up to HT depending on the teams playing and the pace of the match. I tend to ignore the 2nd half for the under 2.5 goals strategyt as there is not much value vs the risk (based on the fact more goals are scored in the 2nd half)

I only trade 'in-play' when I have done some research. There are hundreds of factors to consider and I'm going to highlight just one of them that I do use. You can even use this as a straight backing/laying system should you wish.

Rules

1) Game must be able to go 'In-play' on the Exchanges
2) Look for odds between 1.80 and 2.40 in under/over 2.5 goals market
3) Assess Home Team Form - Rules are:

a) Previous three home games must have ended under 2.5 goals in at least 2 of the 3 games.
b) One or more of the score lines must contain 0 goals for the home or away side. (In any of the 3 games).

4) Assess Away Team Form - Rules are:

a) Last three away games must be UNDER 2.5 goals in at least 2 or 3 of the games.
b) The AWAY side must not have scored in at least 1 of the last 3 away games.

And that's it. It's pretty simple to implement with limited time.

There are numerous was to approach the game but hopefully you have done some research on what to expect in a game and should highlight trading opportunities. If you have selected a few games but only want to trade in one, do so, and if any early goals are scored in the other games, you'll have more of a chance of dipping in and trading out (scalping) within a few minutes as the game settles again, knowing there will not be many goals.

Obviously things can go wrong from time to time so stake appropriately!