It's time to get compounding............

Hello Sports Investors,

I've not had time to update the blog for a while due to other committments and I feel I have nothing valuable to add daily except from providing bets on the blog for 5% returns (which you all probably think you can do) and I know that does not appeal to most.

However, If were interested in the challenge/compunding bets I'm now starting it as part of my Football Tipster service at www.premierfootballtipster.com . Apart from providing profitable Lay The Draw Selections (+60 pts profit in the UK 2011/12 season) I am more determined than ever to regularly profit from compounding small banks.

Below is the 1st e-mail to clients....................


Premier Football Lays - 12th May 2012

Morning All,

Following my e-mail yesterday I lot of you are keen to search for big profits from small banks so I will introduce a method where we will compound the bank into a sizeable bank and then keep re-cycling the task in hand. After attempting a very similar challenge on the blog I did learn a few things and I hope to bring that experience into these bet series.

Now, assessing the probability is key and trying to get 100 winning bets in a row is a little optimistic whatever the odds you take on. A more realistic change is assuming 50 bets. If you compound a £50 starting bank and back average odds of 1.05 (less 5% betfair commission) then in 50 bets you will have a £500 bank or £1000 if you start with £100.

We would probably do 50 bets within a 3-4 weeks during the summer months (less football) but I will introduce a few tennis bets to off-set the downturn in football. However, is £500 a month enough for my time (or yours)? I would initially take those profits but while I'm spending the time to do the research and the fact a few games happen at the same time, a £1000 a month would be more worth while so what I suggest is to run two cycles at the same time. This will also make it more interesting to follow and more likely one of the cycles will happen.

If you want a basic spreadsheet to calculate/monitor your stakes please e-mail me at rick @ premierfootballtipster.com

Remember, when one bet wins, stake the whole bank on the next bet.

Here are today's selections.......................


£50 - £500 Challenge Bet (Series 1)

Bet 1 - Under 5.50 goals on the MK Dons v Huddersfield (12:30 UK Time) @ 1.05

Bet 2 - Under 6.50 goals on the Pescara v Torino (17:00 UK Time) @ 1.05

Bet 3 - Under 5.50 goals on the Dortmund v Bayern Munich (19:00 UK Time) @ 1.07



£50 - £500 Challenge Bet (Series 2)


Bet 1 - Under 5.50 goals on the Stabak v Molde (15:00 UK Time) @ 1.08

Bet 2 - Under 5.50 goals on the Beira-Mar v Olhanense (18:30 UK Time) @ 1.03

Good Luck

Rick

£100 to £5K Challenge - Day 7

Morning Folks,

We made a 3% gain yesterday from the Reading game despite Arsenal not performing. Anyway, another day, another challenge bet.

I'm going for £70 Bet on Man Utd to beat Everton (Draw No Bet) @ 1.13. Everton have rolled over for Man Utd more than any other team in the Premiership (FACT - 29 times) and I cannot see this being any different.

Everton are also have to comeback from a disappointing FA Cup semi-final and if Tottenham's performance is anything to go by last night, Everton will also struggle against Utd who are so strong at home.

I'm personally risking a lot more on my normal betting activities but the football tips above/on this blog are based on my low bank compounding for the challenge.

Good Luck

Rick

Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction (Challenge Day 6)

Morning Folks,

I've not had much time to analyse the goal markets today but as I'm £37.56 ahead of my daily challenge I'm going to simple bet £30 on Arsenal to Win / Draw No Bet @ 1.51.

Why? Arsenal are a diferent team at home and they will want to come back from a shock result against Wigan and secure a Champions League spot. Chelsea have just had a very hectic week with the joys of thrashing Tottenham in the FA Cup semi's then beating Barca at home and will have to change their squad if they have any chance of being fresh.

I mention this as a big factor as Chelsea have only had Weds Night/Thursday to rest/celebrate, then back at training Friday, for a early KO on Saturday. I'm a sportsman/actively fit and when you've played out of your skin all week, your body cannot recover as quickly as you would like and as Chelsea have a older squad I think this will be a factor in today's game.

If Arsenal are on their game, this should be a straight win for them, while Chelsea keep an eye on next Tuesday's game at Barca, which I'm afraid they will lose in my opinion.

So, that's back £30 (of my £163.67 bank) on Arsenal to Win (Draw No Bet) @ 1.51 on Betfair

After that game, we can tot up the bank and stake the whole amount on

Back - Under 6.50 goals on the Reading v C Palace @ 1.03

Good Luck

Rick

Challenge so far............. only approx 80 bets to go

£100 to £5K Compounding Challenge
Betting Days	Actual Bank	Target Bank	Target P&L	Achieved P&L
1	100.00	100.00	4.75	6.65
2	106.65	104.75	4.98	8.48
3	115.13	109.73	5.21	26.25
4	141.38	114.94	5.46	9.40
5	150.78	120.40	5.72	12.89
6	163.67	126.12	5.99
7	163.67	132.11	6.28
8	163.67	138.38	6.57
9	163.67	144.95	6.89
10	163.67	151.84	7.21
11	163.67	159.05	7.55
12	163.67	166.61	7.91
13	163.67	174.52	8.29
14	163.67	182.81	8.68
15	163.67	191.49	9.10
16	163.67	200.59	9.53
17	163.67	210.12	9.98
18	163.67	220.10	10.45
19	163.67	230.55	10.95
20	163.67	241.51	11.47
21	163.67	252.98	12.02
22	163.67	264.99	12.59
23	163.67	277.58	13.19
24	163.67	290.77	13.81
25	163.67	304.58	14.47
26	163.67	319.04	15.15
27	163.67	334.20	15.87
28	163.67	350.07	16.63
29	163.67	366.70	17.42
30	163.67	384.12	18.25
31	163.67	402.37	19.11
32	163.67	421.48	20.02
33	163.67	441.50	20.97
34	163.67	462.47	21.97
35	163.67	484.44	23.01
36	163.67	507.45	24.10
37	163.67	531.55	25.25
38	163.67	556.80	26.45
39	163.67	583.25	27.70
40	163.67	610.95	29.02
41	163.67	639.97	30.40
42	163.67	670.37	31.84
43	163.67	702.21	33.36
44	163.67	735.57	34.94
45	163.67	770.51	36.60
46	163.67	807.11	38.34
47	163.67	845.45	40.16
48	163.67	885.60	42.07
49	163.67	927.67	44.06
50	163.67	971.73	46.16
51	163.67	1017.89	48.35
52	163.67	1066.24	50.65
53	163.67	1116.89	53.05
54	163.67	1169.94	55.57
55	163.67	1225.51	58.21
56	163.67	1283.72	60.98
57	163.67	1344.70	63.87
58	163.67	1408.57	66.91
59	163.67	1475.48	70.09
60	163.67	1545.57	73.41
61	163.67	1618.98	76.90
62	163.67	1695.88	80.55
63	163.67	1776.44	84.38
64	163.67	1860.82	88.39
65	163.67	1949.21	92.59
66	163.67	2041.79	96.99
67	163.67	2138.78	101.59
68	163.67	2240.37	106.42
69	163.67	2346.79	111.47
70	163.67	2458.26	116.77
71	163.67	2575.03	122.31
72	163.67	2697.34	128.12
73	163.67	2825.47	134.21
74	163.67	2959.68	140.58
75	163.67	3100.26	147.26
76	163.67	3247.52	154.26
77	163.67	3401.78	161.58
78	163.67	3563.37	169.26
79	163.67	3732.63	177.30
80	163.67	3909.93	185.72
81	163.67	4095.65	194.54
82	163.67	4290.19	203.78
83	163.67	4493.97	213.46
84	163.67	4707.44	223.60
85	163.67	4931.04	234.22
86	163.67	5165.27	245.35

£100 to £5K Challenge - Day 5

Afternoon All,

Following on from the success of last night's football prediction I'm going to put the whole bank on...........

1 Goal or more to be scored in the Sporting Lisbon vs. Athletic Bilbao game @ 1.09 on Betfair.

Athletic Bilbao have been goal crazy this season in the UEFA cup so I expect a goal from somewhere.

A few stats...............

In the Spanish league Athletic Bilbao conceded at least one goal in 94% of their away matches and have scored at least one goal in 81% of their away matches so it shows they play open football. Sporting CP scored at least one goal in 92% of their home matches so they too bang the goals in.

Both teams have only been involved in one 0-0 draw all season (26 games for Sporting and 33 games the Bilbao). The stats are with us :-)

Good Luck